Taurus Posted September 7, 2019 Share Posted September 7, 2019 Given we are only 5 weeks away from the start of the 2019 / 20 season & our competitive return to Wanderland 2.0, I thought it timely that we started a dedicated thread to discuss all things wagering related, when it comes to the Wanderers Sydney Wanderers. If you have an interest in a nag or dishlicker that may be able to line the pockets of forumites, this is also a good place to share such information. I'll start it off by posting a summary of futures markets in relation to the PP & GF winner markets where available, at the TAB (Jolly Green Gint) & three well known Corporate bookies. There are some variations across the betting agencies, so it pays to shop around, & I'll highlight the top odds in the sample of markets. TAB https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Soccer/competitions/A League Futures Very tight prices available on WSW across all of their markets currently. They have been tightened WSW's odds regularly in recent weeks, in reaction to our pre-season signings & form. IIRC, they did bet approx $14 for us to win the GF early doors A League Futures Show TAB Prop Number Winner Minor Premiership Top 6 Perth Glory 4.75 4.50 1.12 Sydney FC 4.75 3.75 1.08 Melbourne Victory 6.00 5.50 1.25 Melbourne City 6.50 5.50 1.25 Western Sydney Wanderers 10.00 9.00 1.65 Adelaide United 13.00 15.00 2.00 Newcastle Jets 13.00 15.00 2.00 Western United 13.00 15.00 2.00 Brisbane Roar 15.00 15.00 2.00 Central Coast Mariners 31.00 41.00 3.50 Wellington Phoenix 51.00 81.00 5.00 Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 7, 2019 Author Share Posted September 7, 2019 BET 365 https://www.bet365.com.au/#/AC/B1/C172/D1/E41904671/F2!/AS/B1/ Top Odds - $13 available about WSW to win the GF No other futures markets available atm BET EASY Comprehensive service with markets available for the Grand Final, Top 6, Premiers Plate & Wooden Spoon. https://beteasy.com.au/sports-betting/soccer/australia/a-league-futures/outright-markets-20191018-1311791-39844191 Top Odds - $16 to win the PP is still a sensational price! The TAB being the only other option at $9. If you haven't already, bet early & bet often! OUTRIGHT MARKETS October 18, 2019 7:30pm40d 19h Selection A-League Grand Final Winner Top 6 Minor Premiers Wooden Spoon Sydney FC 4.25 1.06 3.50 101.00 Perth Glory 5.00 1.12 4.50 51.00 Melbourne Victory 5.00 1.12 4.50 51.00 Melbourne City 6.50 1.22 6.00 41.00 Brisbane Roar 11.00 1.65 14.00 21.00 Western Sydney Wanderers 12.00 1.75 16.00 21.00 Adelaide United 15.00 2.15 21.00 13.00 Newcastle Jets 15.00 2.15 21.00 13.00 Western United 15.00 2.15 21.00 13.00 Central Coast Mariners 23.00 3.00 41.00 3.50 Wellington Phoenix 51.00 5.00 101.00 1.60 Sportsbet Only a Grand Final & Smurfs to go through undefeated (wankfest) market available atm https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/australia/australian-a-league/a-league-2019-2020-outright-winner-4673588 Top odds - $13 available about WSW to win the GF You can follow any changes in the various markets here: http://odds.aussportsbetting.com/betting?competitionid=5 Link to comment
WHACKO Posted September 7, 2019 Share Posted September 7, 2019 A site that is useful to compare odds is aussportsbetting.com Taurus 1 Link to comment
Paul01 Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 FFA Cup Outright from Sportsbet. Now at 4.33 for the win outright https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer/australia/australian-ffa-cup-outright FFA Cup QF from Sportsbet over Heartle$$. Now at 2.88 https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 8, 2019 Author Share Posted September 8, 2019 IN relation to the FFA Cup futures markets, WSW have firmed from as much as $21 / $23 into as low as $5 / $5.50 now, with most agencies. So happy days to all of us that are already on, but lets see if there's still a potential earn in the normal match markets for our game v's City at AAMI in 10 days. Let's compare the four main agencies again. TAB FFA Cup winner - $ N/A https://www.tab.com.au/sports/betting/Soccer/competitions/Australia FFA Cup City $1,90 Draw $3.75 WSW $3.30 IMO, $3.30 is very good odds, but not the top price available atm Bet 365 FFA Cup winner - $5.00 https://www.bet365.com.au/#/AC/B1/C1/D13/E43157826/F2/ City $1.80 Draw $3.60 WSW - $3.60 Top Odds - $3.60 is 30c in the dollar better price than any other outlet currently. Jump on that price hard for us to win within 90 minutes, as it has to shorten. Bet Easy FFA Cup winner - $5.50 https://beteasy.com.au/sports-betting/soccer/australia/ffa-cup-matches City $1.95 Draw $3.60 WSW $3.30 * They appear keen to lay City within 90 minutes. $3,30 is still a very good price about WSW. * WSW at $5.50 is the best outright winner price i can locate atm Sportsbet FFA Cup winner - $4.33 https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/soccer City $2.00 Draw $3.75 WSW $2.88 * They are taking City on at the top odds of even money, but have WSW very short compared to other agencies atm. You can follow any changes to the markets here http://odds.aussportsbetting.com/betting?competitionid=2081 Link to comment
xposedPatricK Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 Awesome thread #betresponsibly Link to comment
Westiesarebesties Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 TAB FFA winner has us at $4.50, has come down in the last two weeks by $1. Link to comment
wendybr Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 Quote Awesome thread So........this is what it takes to lure forumites to the Off Topic Threads, is it? Link to comment
WHACKO Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 (edited) 2 hours ago, wendybr said: So........this is what it takes to lure forumites to the Off Topic Threads, is it? I bet it is. Edited September 8, 2019 by WHACKO EmMac, andypk and wendybr 3 Link to comment
wendybr Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, WHACKO said: I bet it is. But but....there's been a perfectly good Not Politics Thread here for ages! And an Animals Thread! What's wrong with them? Link to comment
WHACKO Posted September 8, 2019 Share Posted September 8, 2019 You can't bet on them. If we can find a winner all the better. wendybr 1 Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 9, 2019 Author Share Posted September 9, 2019 17 hours ago, wendybr said: But but....there's been a perfectly good Not Politics Thread here for ages! And an Animals Thread! What's wrong with them? Please don't derail this thread like you peeps have done with all the other non politics or food threads. It just too hard to follow, if there are 'too many' irrelevant posts, which don't add to our potential wealth. Edinburgh 1 Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 9, 2019 Author Share Posted September 9, 2019 On 08/09/2019 at 1:10 PM, Taurus said: Bet 365 FFA Cup winner - $5.00 https://www.bet365.com.au/#/AC/B1/C1/D13/E43157826/F2/ City $1.80 Draw $3.60 WSW - $3.60 Top Odds - $3.60 is 30c in the dollar better price than any other outlet currently. Jump on that price hard for us to win within 90 minutes, as it has to shorten. You can follow any changes to the markets here http://odds.aussportsbetting.com/betting?competitionid=2081 Can't believe we have eased to $4.00 to beat City in the FFA Cup game. What are they thinking? https://www.bet365.com.au/#/AC/B1/C1/D13/E43157826/F2/ Link to comment
CaptainJess Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 Got a nice little $15 on WSW to win the FFA Cup at $23 for a $345 return. Also put $30 on a WSW GF win at $14 for a return of $420. I'm liking my bets at the moment. Both cash out options are equal or more than my original outlays ATM, so I could go out while I'm ahead if I want EmMac 1 Link to comment
teddies Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 So Im part of a punting group and the organiser sends out tips backed by his analysis. I'm not sure what "his analysis" entails, but it seems legit. The odds average range from $1.50-180 from my observations. I'll share them here so feel free to use at your own risk! English National North League Spennymoor vs Blyth Spartans Kick off: 7:45pm BST Bet: Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.725 Stake: 1u - Between both teams, both have just one win between them after their games played. - Of the three home games played, Spennymoor have scored in each and featured at least three match goals. - After eight games played, Spennymoor have conceded an average of 2.33 goals per game, conceding twice in four. - Blyth sit rock bottom and have conceded twice in six of their nine games played. - The visitors are yet to win a game this season after nine games played. - Last season both were great for three match goals and each of the last five meetings saw both teams score and three goals. Link to comment
sonar Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 So for all the betting mathematicians.....what would the odds be to correctly pick 5 from 5 for 26 rounds...? Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 10, 2019 Author Share Posted September 10, 2019 3 hours ago, CaptainJess said: Got a nice little $15 on WSW to win the FFA Cup at $23 for a $345 return. Also put $30 on a WSW GF win at $14 for a return of $420. I'm liking my bets at the moment. Both cash out options are equal or more than my original outlays ATM, so I could go out while I'm ahead if I want Play the long game on both tickets. Link to comment
Davo Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 1 hour ago, sonar said: So for all the betting mathematicians.....what would the odds be to correctly pick 5 from 5 for 26 rounds...? I'm no statistician but I would have thought that if each game has three outcomes (home win, draw, away win), each outcome has an equal chance (1 in 3) and there are 130 games (5x26) it would be 1 in 3^130, or 1 in 10^62. Gamble responsibly. Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 10, 2019 Author Share Posted September 10, 2019 23 hours ago, Taurus said: Can't believe we have eased to $4.00 to beat City in the FFA Cup game. What are they thinking? https://www.bet365.com.au/#/AC/B1/C1/D13/E43157826/F2/ That didn't last long, back into $3.80, but still huge overs. Hope some of our lurkers got on at the top odds Link to comment
WHACKO Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 2 hours ago, sonar said: So for all the betting mathematicians.....what would the odds be to correctly pick 5 from 5 for 26 rounds...? For a $1 Retirement sonar 1 Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 10, 2019 Author Share Posted September 10, 2019 Interesting, our next opponents got rolled by Tarneit FC today. Joey Lynch @joeylynchy Full time here at the CFA; @wufcofficial run out 2-1 winners over @MelbourneCity . Own goal from City cancelled out by Najjarine in the first half before Yuel won it for United with a second half goal. #ALeague Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 10, 2019 Author Share Posted September 10, 2019 The reaction from the Corporate Bookies has been swift. Don't dilly dally around punters, you've still time to get on at the good odds of $3.55. Wed Sep 18 19:30 Melbourne City vs Western Sydney Wanderers 2.00 l 3.75 l 3.55 104.84% Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 10, 2019 Author Share Posted September 10, 2019 Looks to me like WSW supporters have stepped in over recent days & shortened up our odds with Bet Easy to win the Premiers Plate, from $16 into $9, whilst we have drifted from $12 to $13 to win the dunny seat #GoFigure #BetResponsibly Link to comment
teddies Posted September 10, 2019 Share Posted September 10, 2019 17 hours ago, teddies said: English National North League Spennymoor vs Blyth Spartans Kick off: 7:45pm BST Bet: Over 2.5 Goals Odds: 1.725 Spennymoor 5 : Blyth 0 A Blyth red card in 13' helped with opening the floodgates. Gamble responsibly. scarcev 1 Link to comment
teddies Posted September 11, 2019 Share Posted September 11, 2019 MLS Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Kick off: 11:30am Bets: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals (multi) Odds: 1.83 Brief: - Salt Lake have managed to score in thirteen of their fourteen matches played, at an average of 1.93 goals per game. - 80% of San Jose games have featured at least three match goals. - In their away games, eleven of their thirteen have featured at least three goals. - Breaking those games down, they’ve scored in eleven of those games and conceded in twelve (at an average of 2.00 goals). - Reports suggest Real Salt Lake will be missing key players so a San Jose result is possible. This bet won't change your life. #BetResponsibly Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 12, 2019 Author Share Posted September 12, 2019 What's the level of interest amongst forumities, in regards to an ALeague (CASH) tipping comp? Pup55 ran one a few seasons back & whilst being a P.I.T.A to administer in the initial stages, it appeared to be well patronised. Here's a link to the previous thread. If you're keen to participate in an ALeague (CASH) tipping competition, run along similar lines this season, please reply with #In below & I will monitor the responces & potentially do the preparation work for a competition. Get cracking the AL starts in approx one month. Edit: I think I'll start a separate Tipping Comp thread so we keep the clutter away from this thread Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 12, 2019 Author Share Posted September 12, 2019 @teddies your tipping license, has been suspended for 72 hours. Result: RSL 1 - SL 0. teddies 1 Link to comment
teddies Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 6 hours ago, Taurus said: @teddies your tipping license, has been suspended for 72 hours. Result: RSL 1 - SL 0. Do as I say, not as I tip J1 League Urawa Reds vs Cerezo Osaka Kick off: 8.30pm Over 0.5 Second Half Urawa Reds Goals (risky) Odds: 1.95 Brief: - Urawa have not seen a clean sheet in eight matches and a win in six. - Visitors Osaka have scored twice in each of the last three games but... - When they concede goals, 90% of been scored against them in the second half of games. The only safe bet is not betting at all. #GambleResponsibly Link to comment
Taurus Posted September 12, 2019 Author Share Posted September 12, 2019 2 minutes ago, teddies said: Do as I say, not as I tip J1 League Urawa Reds vs Cerezo Osaka Kick off: 8.30pm Over 0.5 Second Half Urawa Reds Goals (risky) Odds: 1.95 Brief: - Urawa have not seen a clean sheet in eight matches and a win in six. - Visitors Osaka have scored twice in each of the last three games but... - When they concede goals, 90% of been scored against them in the second half of games. The only safe bet is not betting at all. #GambleResponsibly Does this relate to WSW in some way? Link to comment
teddies Posted September 12, 2019 Share Posted September 12, 2019 @Taurus I'm also in for tipping! Link to comment
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